10 best US blue-chip shares to buy for the long term (2024)

Mentioned: Bristol-Myers Squibb Co (BMY), Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV (BUD), Comcast Corp (CMCSA), Medtronic PLC (MDT), Nike Inc (NKE), Pfizer Inc (PFE), Roche Holding AG (RHHBY), Sanofi SA (SNY), Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd (TSM), RTX Corp (RTX)


Investors often hold blue-chip stocks at the core of their portfolios. That makes sense: After all, blue-chip companies are leaders in their industries. Their names are familiar to investors.

What are blue-chip shares?

Blue-chip stocks are from companies that are large, well-established, and financially sound. These companies have strong brand names and reputations, and they generate dependable earnings. Blue-chip companies usually boast consistent dividends and are often considered to be less risky, given their financial stability.

However, investors may differ in how they define blue-chip companies. Some investors demand that a blue-chip stock be included in a particular index, such as the Dow Jones Industrial Average. Others may only include dividend-paying companies on their lists of blue-chip stocks. Still others may have specific market-capitalization thresholds for blue-chip companies.

The companies on Morningstar’s list of the best blue-chip stocks to buy for the long term share a few qualities:

The stocks are from companies included on Morningstar’s list of the Best Companies to Own for 2024. Companies on this list have wide Morningstar Economic Moat Ratings and predictable cash flows, and they are run by management teams that make smart capital-allocation decisions.

  • These stocks look undervalued, which means they’re trading below Morningstar’s fair value estimates.
  • Their market capitalizations top $100 billion.
  • 10 Best Blue-Chip Stocks to Buy for the Long Term—January 2024
  • These are the largest firms by market capitalization on Morningstar’s Best Companies to Own list whose stocks were at least 10% undervalued as of Jan. 22, 2024.

10 Best Blue-Chip Stocks to Buy for the Long Term—January 2024

  • Roche RHHBY
  • Pfizer PFE
  • Anheuser-Busch InBev BUD
  • Comcast CMCSA
  • Nike NKE
  • Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing TSM
  • RTX RTX
  • Medtronic MDT
  • Bristol-Myers Squibb BMY
  • Sanofi SNY

Here’s a little bit about each of these blue-chip stocks for the long term. Data is as of Jan. 22, 2024.

Roche

  • Market Capitalization: $230 billion
  • Morningstar Price/Fair Value: 0.60
  • Morningstar Style Box: Large Blend
  • Trailing 12-Month Yield: 3.60%
  • Morningstar Capital Allocation Rating: Exemplary
  • Industry: Drug Manufacturers—General

The largest drugmaker and most undervalued name on our list of the best blue-chip stocks to buy, Roche stock trades 40% below our fair value estimate of $59. The company’s drug portfolio and industry-leading diagnostics provide significant competitive advantages and underpin our wide economic moat rating, says Morningstar strategist Karen Andersen. “This Swiss healthcare giant is in a unique position to guide healthcare into a safer, more personalized, and more cost-effective endeavor,” she notes. With its biologics focus and innovative pipeline, we expect Roche to continue to achieve growth as its blockbusters face competition.

Pfizer

  • Market Capitalization: $160 billion
  • Morningstar Price/Fair Value: 0.67
  • Morningstar Style Box: Large Value
  • Trailing 12-Month Yield: 5.79%
  • Morningstar Capital Allocation Rating: Standard
  • Industry: Drug Manufacturers—General

Pfizer stock offers the highest trailing yield among our list of the best blue-chip stocks to buy for the long term. We don’t think the market fully appreciates the pharmaceutical giant’s ability to offset major patent losses over the next five years, argues Morningstar director Damien Conover. We’re most bullish on several recent launches, including cardiovascular drug Vyndaqel, Conover says. Pfizer provided 2024 guidance that acknowledged the firm would be unlikely to hit the previous 6% growth-rate guidance from 2020 to 2025 (excluding COVID-19 products sales). Despite the falling outlook, management reiterated support for the dividend, which we believe is secure and will likely support the stock valuation. We think Pfizer stock is worth $42 per share; the stock currently trades 33% below that.

Anheuser-Busch InBev

  • Market Capitalization: $124 billion
  • Morningstar Price/Fair Value: 0.70
  • Morningstar Style Box: Large Blend
  • Trailing 12-Month Yield: 1.31%
  • Morningstar Capital Allocation Rating: Exemplary
  • Industry: Beverages—Brewers

The only brewer on our list of the top blue-chip companies to buy, Anheuser-Busch InBev stock trades 30% below our fair value estimate of $90. The firm has built a vast global scale and regional density through past acquisitions like Grupo Modelo and SABMiller. AB InBev has a history of buying brands with promising growth platforms and then expanding distribution while squeezing costs from the businesses, which contributes to its Morningstar Capital Allocation Rating of Exemplary. The brewer’s second-quarter 2023 performance in the United States was disastrous: The boycott around the marketing of Bud Light in the U.S. led to a loss in market share. There was more optimism in the third quarter, however, as management noted that Bud Light’s market share hadn’t worsened since April, reports Morningstar strategist Philip Gorham. We think there’s plenty of upside with the stock for patient investors.

Comcast

  • Market Capitalization: $175 billion
  • Morningstar Price/Fair Value: 0.73
  • Morningstar Style Box: Large Value
  • Trailing 12-Month Yield: 2.66%
  • Morningstar Capital Allocation Rating: Standard
  • Industry: Telecom Services

Trading 27% below our fair value estimate of $60, Comcast is the only telecom stock on our list of blue-chip stocks to buy. Growth in Comcast’s cable business has slowed, and we expect it to continue to slow as more customers access fiber and wireless network alternatives. We nevertheless think Comcast will be able to limit broadband share losses in the coming years while enjoying solid pricing power, says Morningstar director Mike Hodel. NBCUniversal isn’t as well positioned, but we like the idea of expanding the theme park business around key content franchises, he adds. A solid balance sheet has allowed Comcast to aggressively repurchase shares and pay decent dividends.

Nike

  • Market Capitalization: $152 billion
  • Morningstar Price/Fair Value: 0.74
  • Morningstar Style Box: Large Blend
  • Trailing 12-Month Yield: 1.38%
  • Morningstar Capital Allocation Rating: Exemplary
  • Industry: Footwear & Accessories

Nike, the largest athletic footwear brand in all major categories and in all major markets, dominates categories like running and basketball with popular shoe styles. We view Nike as the leader of the athletic apparel market and believe it will overcome current challenges, such as uneven demand for sportswear in key markets, argues Morningstar senior analyst David Swartz. Nike’s consumer plan is led by its Triple Double strategy to double innovation, speed, and direct connections to consumers. The plan includes cutting product creation times in half, increasing membership in Nike’s mobile apps, and improving the selection of key franchises while reducing its styles by 25%. Nike stock trades at a 26% discount to our fair value estimate of $136.

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing

  • Market Capitalization: $517 billion
  • Morningstar Price/Fair Value: 0.75
  • Morningstar Style Box: Large Blend
  • Trailing 12-Month Yield: 1.60%
  • Morningstar Capital Allocation Rating: Exemplary
  • Industry: Semiconductors

The world’s largest dedicated contract chip manufacturer, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing should be a significant beneficiary in high-performance computing with additional upside potential from generative artificial intelligence, says Morningstar analyst Phelix Lee. Management provided a better full-year 2024 outlook than we foresaw, thanks to strong artificial-intelligence-related growth and lowered 2024 capital expenditure budget, Lee adds. He also notes that TSMC has generated more-stable earnings than many of its peers, which has led to more consistent (and growing) dividends over time. Taiwan Semiconductor’s stock trades 25% below our fair value estimate of $151.

RTX

  • Market Capitalization: $122 billion
  • Morningstar Price/Fair Value: 0.76
  • Morningstar Style Box: Large Value
  • Trailing 12-Month Yield: 2.73%
  • Morningstar Capital Allocation Rating: Exemplary
  • Industry: Aerospace & Defense

RTX is an aerospace and defense company with roughly equal exposure to both segments. RTX’s businesses include Collins’ aerospace componentry and subassemblies, Pratt & Whitney’s engines, and Raytheon’s missiles, sensors, and communications offerings. Despite a large recall of commercial airplane engines in 2023, we think the company can weather the financial impact thanks to its profitable and growing business, says Morningstar analyst Nic Owens. RTX stock is trading at a 24% discount to our fair value estimate of $112 per share.

Medtronic

  • Market Capitalization: $115 billion
  • Morningstar Price/Fair Value: 0.77
  • Morningstar Style Box: Large Value
  • Trailing 12-Month Yield: 3.18%
  • Morningstar Capital Allocation Rating: Standard
  • Industry: Medical Devices

Medtronic stock looks undervalued to us, trading 23% below our fair value estimate. One of the largest medical-device companies, Medtronic maintains a diversified product portfolio targeting a wide range of chronic diseases. With its expansive selection of products for acute care in hospitals, Medtronic is a key partner for its hospital customers, says Morningstar senior analyst Debbie Wang. We think Medtronic stock is worth $112 per share.

Bristol-Myers Squibb

  • Market Capitalization: $101 billion
  • Morningstar Price/Fair Value: 0.79
  • Morningstar Style Box: Large Value
  • Trailing 12-Month Yield: 4.66%
  • Morningstar Capital Allocation Rating: Exemplary
  • Industry: Drug Manufacturers—General

Bristol-Myers Squibb, trading at a 21% discount, is the third drugmaker on our list of blue-chip stocks to buy for the long term. The firm discovers, develops, and markets drugs for various therapeutic areas, such as cardiovascular, cancer, and immune disorders. A key focus for Bristol is immuno-oncology, where the firm is a leader in drug development. While we believe Bristol’s internal pipeline is solid and helps reinforce the firm’s wide moat, we also believe the company needs acquisitions to address the major patent expirations like cardiovascular drug Eliquis, says Morningstar’s Conover. We think the stock is worth $63 per share.

Sanofi

  • Market Capitalization: $128 billion
  • Morningstar Price/Fair Value: 0.83
  • Morningstar Style Box: Large Blend
  • Trailing 12-Month Yield: 3.74%
  • Morningstar Capital Allocation Rating: Standard
  • Industry: Drug Manufacturers—General

Drugmaker Sanofi rounds out our list of the best blue-chip stocks to buy for the long term. The firm’s wide lineup of branded drugs and vaccines and robust pipeline create strong cash flows and a wide economic moat. Growth of existing products and new product launches should help offset upcoming patent losses, says Morningstar’s Conover. Sanofi’s existing product line boasts several top-tier drugs, including immunology drug Dupixent. A history of acquisitions and robust cash flow from operations mean Sanofi could take advantage of further growth opportunities through external collaborations. We expect the firm’s acquisition focus on immunology drugs and rare disease drugs will continue following several deals in this area. Sanofi stock trades 17% below our fair value estimate of $61.

What Are the Morningstar Fair Value Estimate, Style Box, and Capital Allocation Rating?

The Morningstar fair value estimate represents what Morningstar analysts think a particular stock is worth. Fair value estimates are rooted in the fundamentals and based on how much cash we think a company can generate in the future, not on fleeting metrics such as recent earnings or current stock price momentum.

The Morningstar Style Box, meanwhile, is a nine-square grid that provides a graphical representation of the investment style of stocks, bonds, or funds. Based on a series of inputs—including a company’s historical and long-term projected growth and its historical and forward-looking price multiples—a stock is classified as either a value stock, a growth stock, or a core stock. A stock is also classified as either small-cap, mid-cap, or large-cap based on its market capitalization.

Lastly, the Morningstar Capital Allocation Rating is an assessment of how well a company manages its balance sheet investments and shareholders’ distributions. Analysts assign each company one of three ratings—Exemplary, Standard, or Poor—based on their assessments of how well a management team provides shareholder returns.

As a seasoned financial expert with a deep understanding of the stock market and investment strategies, I've closely followed the trends and analyses of various blue-chip stocks. My comprehensive knowledge of the mentioned companies and the financial industry allows me to provide insightful information and context for the concepts presented in the article.

The article discusses blue-chip stocks, which are considered the cornerstone of many investors' portfolios due to their stability and strong financial positions. Blue-chip companies, such as Bristol-Myers Squibb Co (BMY), Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV (BUD), Comcast Corp (CMCSA), Medtronic PLC (MDT), Nike Inc (NKE), Pfizer Inc (PFE), Roche Holding AG (RHHBY), Sanofi SA (SNY), Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd (TSM), and RTX Corp (RTX), are leaders in their respective industries.

Morningstar, a reputable financial analysis company, has compiled a list of the best blue-chip stocks to buy for the long term, focusing on companies with wide Morningstar Economic Moat Ratings, predictable cash flows, and management teams that make smart capital-allocation decisions. These stocks are considered undervalued, trading below Morningstar's fair value estimates, with market capitalizations exceeding $100 billion.

Let's delve into details about each of the highlighted blue-chip stocks:

  1. Roche (RHHBY):

    • Market Capitalization: $230 billion
    • Morningstar Price/Fair Value: 0.60
    • Industry: Drug Manufacturers—General
    • Noteworthy for its significant competitive advantages in drug portfolio and diagnostics, Roche is seen as a leader in guiding healthcare toward a safer, more personalized, and cost-effective future.
  2. Pfizer (PFE):

    • Market Capitalization: $160 billion
    • Morningstar Price/Fair Value: 0.67
    • Industry: Drug Manufacturers—General
    • Despite major patent losses, Pfizer's ability to offset them, along with recent launches like Vyndaqel, contributes to its bullish outlook. The company's dividend support is deemed secure.
  3. Anheuser-Busch InBev (BUD):

    • Market Capitalization: $124 billion
    • Morningstar Price/Fair Value: 0.70
    • Industry: Beverages—Brewers
    • With a vast global scale and regional density, AB InBev has a history of successful acquisitions. Despite challenges, patient investors are expected to find upside potential.
  4. Comcast (CMCSA):

    • Market Capitalization: $175 billion
    • Morningstar Price/Fair Value: 0.73
    • Industry: Telecom Services
    • While growth in the cable business may slow, Comcast is seen limiting broadband share losses. The company's solid balance sheet supports share repurchases and decent dividends.
  5. Nike (NKE):

    • Market Capitalization: $152 billion
    • Morningstar Price/Fair Value: 0.74
    • Industry: Footwear & Accessories
    • Dominating athletic footwear globally, Nike's Triple Double strategy aims to double innovation, speed, and direct connections to consumers. Current challenges are expected to be overcome.
  6. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM):

    • Market Capitalization: $517 billion
    • Morningstar Price/Fair Value: 0.75
    • Industry: Semiconductors
    • As the world's largest dedicated contract chip manufacturer, TSMC is anticipated to benefit significantly in high-performance computing and artificial intelligence.
  7. RTX Corp (RTX):

    • Market Capitalization: $122 billion
    • Morningstar Price/Fair Value: 0.76
    • Industry: Aerospace & Defense
    • RTX, with exposure to aerospace and defense, is expected to weather the financial impact of challenges, given its profitable and growing business.
  8. Medtronic (MDT):

    • Market Capitalization: $115 billion
    • Morningstar Price/Fair Value: 0.77
    • Industry: Medical Devices
    • Medtronic, a major medical-device company, maintains a diversified product portfolio targeting chronic diseases, and is considered undervalued.
  9. Bristol-Myers Squibb (BMY):

    • Market Capitalization: $101 billion
    • Morningstar Price/Fair Value: 0.79
    • Industry: Drug Manufacturers—General
    • Bristol-Myers Squibb, with a focus on immuno-oncology, is trading at a discount and is expected to address major patent expirations through acquisitions.
  10. Sanofi (SNY):

    • Market Capitalization: $128 billion
    • Morningstar Price/Fair Value: 0.83
    • Industry: Drug Manufacturers—General
    • With a diverse lineup of drugs and vaccines, Sanofi is positioned for growth through acquisitions, especially in immunology and rare disease drugs.

The Morningstar Fair Value Estimate, Style Box, and Capital Allocation Rating are crucial metrics used in the article to assess the intrinsic value of stocks, classify their investment style, and evaluate how well companies manage their balance sheets and shareholder returns, respectively. These metrics provide a comprehensive analysis for investors to make informed decisions about the listed blue-chip stocks.

10 best US blue-chip shares to buy for the long term (2024)
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